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2010
Least Tern & Snowy Plover Project


July 19 - Got Fish? Least Tern Mortality Information
 
Got Fish?
For anyone like me who is nutty enough to wonder about the foraging strategy of least terns, their successes and some consequences, please read the following chatter from other monitors about terns in the south coast area.

When are we done? We usually monitor the colony until we see no more young of the year. Last year Ross Griswold observed the last fledgling on the 29th of July. It looks like we will end in the next couple weeks or sooner. Our monitors report a few remaining nesting attempts, and we want to see if they are successful. The end of the season will become obvious and we will announce when to finish up. Thanks again for all of your time and observations. I hope you’ve enjoyed your natural resources at the beach.

—David Pryor

Least Tern Mortality in San Diego County
Responses from Dan Robinette, Robert Patton, Shauna Wolf,
Brian Collins, Brian Bonesteel, Tom Ryan, Pat Baird,
 
from Dan Robinette:
This was an El Nino year, though the impacts seem to be varied depending on species and location. The ENSO index was not as positive as during major events like 82/83 and 97/98. Sea Lions are definitely showing signs of food issues. And Least Terns at Venice and Port of LA definitely had issues this year as well. It sounds like San Diego terns were able to find enough of a source to initiate nests, but not enough to keep the older chicks fed. It's quite possible that food conditions deteriorated as the season progressed. We've documented within-season changes in diet that have led to changes in breeding metrics at Vandenberg. We really need to start collecting and analyzing diet samples at the major colonies throughout California so we can stop guessing about this stuff. I have info for some colonies in some years and a 10-year time-series for Vandenberg, but we really need to develop good time-series for multiple colonies.

from Robert Patton:
The highest numbers of dead chicks & fledglings that I've heard reference to have been at Batiquitos Lagoon & the Naval Base Coronado sites, which are also the largest colonies in the area. I've heard little to nothing of mortality at Camp Pendleton, the largest colony in the population, other than scattered reports of dead fledglings that had been banded as chicks elsewhere. There also seem to be relatively high numbers of dead fledglings (including banded from elsewhere) at Mariners Point in Mission Bay.

At Tijuana Estuary & sites on San Diego Bay:
Nest/brood attendance has appeared relatively depressed for much of the season, but most notably early in the season & then significantly so over the past two weeks. There have also been relatively high nest abandonment rates, particularly in the past two weeks. As Sandy suggested, assigning cause simply to lack of access/availability of prey fish has been complicated by presence of peregrines as well as other predators. However, evidence of predation of adult CLTs at most of the sites I'm at has been relatively low. Some mobbing by multiple chicks/fledglings of adults flying in with fish has been observed. There appears to have been relatively normal numbers of dropped fish, although most appear to be surf perch tending to be on the large side. Chick weights have been generally good with a few exceptions & for the most part I've not seen aberrant behavior, weak or sick chicks, BUT on the other hand I've had extremely few recaptures in recent weeks so have been unable to track any changes (however I understand that dropping weights were recorded elsewhere in recent weeks). Likewise, most of the young at the sites I'm at had reached fledging age when this mortality episode began so were no longer being recaptured & weighed. The recent dead I've found have been fledglings & nearly fledged chicks, almost all already desiccated by the time they were found. The couple of fresh carcasses & one alive but emaciated that I found were turned over to Project Wildlife for rehab or gross necropsy but I've not heard results. The majority of carcasses that I've seen had protruding sternal keels & lacked any vent staining.

've heard suggestion that prey fish availability has decreased as local water temperatures increased then fluctuated significantly over the past two weeks, but I've not had a chance to check sea surface temp data.

I've not seen mortality in the other nesting species coinciding with the timing of the increased mortality of juvenile CLTs. However, there are typically high mortality rates among Forster's tern & skimmer chicks in South SD Bay (FWS pushing for additional funding for toxicology testing). We've had above average mortality of adult elegant terns throughout the season, BUT we've also had record high numbers of breeding elegant terns significantly higher than previous records & with high productivity so far (fledgling dispersal just began in past one to two weeks with many chicks/fledglings still on site).

To put in perspective the mortality (not including predation) at the sites I'm monitoring:
SDIA - Lindbergh Field - 114 total nests, 38-47 fledglngs estimated, 14 dead chicks in June (corresponded with raptor predation), 13 dead chicks & 4 dead fledglings in 1st 2 weeks July
D Street Fill - 119 total nests, 26-30 fledglings, 9 dead chicks June, 8 dead chicks & 3 fledglings 1st 2 weeks July
Chula Vista Wildlife Reserve - 40 total nests, 2 fledglings
South SD Bay saltworks - 65 total nests, 6-7 fledglings, 1 dead adult
Tijuana Estuary - 219 total nests, 62-63 fledglings, 4 dead chicks June, 2 dead chicks & 10 fledglings & 2 adults 1st 2 weeks July (including dead fledgling from Batiquitos & 2 from NBC)
Looking forward to hearing observations & perspectives from other sites.

from Shauna Wolf:

At Batiquitos the only issue appears to be food related. The CLT chick weights were very good until 6/26 when they suddenly started dropping. We have few to no active CLT nests now and the recently hatched chicks have all died. Indications of food problems are that we had a fledgling CLT attempt to eat a CLT chick. The chick had lost weight since the attack and was only 4.4 grams so would have died anyway. We have not seen the fledglings eating hair ties and fuzzy string like have in some past years. There are still three known chicks at Batiquitos that are medium size and all three appear to be doing well. We have found several fledglings from Camp Pendleton dead at BAT (all thin) and several of the BAT have been found at other sites (SD river mouth, NABO, Borderfield, Camp Pendleton, and Mariner's Point).

I know there has been a red tide most of the season, although it didn't seem to be causing much of a problem.
It looked like it disappeared for a couple weeks near BAT, but looked a little stronger again last Sunday when I did a WSP survey at SCSB-SP. The black skimmer chicks at E3 appear to be doing well so far, but they mostly eat bigger fish than the CLT.

We have had similar mortality rates in the past at the end of the season at BAT, and in some years it has been much worse. The symptoms are the same, chick weights drop, chicks start accumulating feces stuck to their vent and then they start dying. The biggest difference this year is that it was a much more sudden shift. It usually takes about a week of dropping chick weights before we see much death and this year it was only a couple of days.

Adult predation is not contributing to the mortality at BAT. We had some predation at the beginning of the season, but that was before there was much nesting. Recently we have had some fledgling predation, but I suspect the weakness of the fledges is making them an easier target.


from Brian Collins:
Is anyone seeing evidence to suggest that this high mortality rate is a result of something other than starvation?
No, no gross evidence of wildlife disease has been observed or reported so far.

Does anyone have any information about food sources/ocean conditions that suggest unfavorable conditions for least terns?
We just had a big weather shift here in the last week or so. Oceanic conditions have likely changed as we have been seeing large black jellies in the nearshore waters, are having many more stingray problems with people at the beach (although the warm weather is an obvious link with more people in the water), so it may be likely that the food source for small terns has shifted off shore, also a number of peregrines are very active in the area, so adding those conditions together may be pushing the fledges over the edge.

Are dead or rehabilitated chicks being examined (I know at least one is)?
It's hard to get much evidence from them. Is someone wants, I can do a bulk shipment to our FWS lab in Madison, WI but who knows how useful that would be. If we want to archive chicks for forensic examination, please do not freeze them, refrigerate them only. If we want to send them to Madison, please let me know ASAP and I will arrange for shipment early next week after checking with the lab to make sure they have staff who can respond in a timely manner. With the BP disaster ongoing, they may be swamped with other work. Our local SD County lab no longer takes in birds for necropsy unfortunately.

Are there any results from these examinations?
Are other species exhibiting similar mortality rates?
No, we are not really seeing anything unusual at least in the SD Bay area. Our larger terns seem to be doing fine with fledgling survivability looking very good for now. We are still seeing many adults with large sardine looking fishes flying to and fro over the Strand and beaches and the bay heading for salt works to feed their young. To date, I have neither witnessed or heard about any other mortality clusters that raised any red flags.

We have had problems with Black Skimmer chick mortality that has been exacerbated by a coyote getting into one subcolony and tearing it up pretty badly, but relatively high chick mortality was obvious prior to that occurring. This early age class mortality is a regular yearly observation in the skimmer colony at salt works. we have plans for further contaminants analyses of skimmer eggs in future seasons, hopefully next year if we get the funding. But this too may be food item related, we don't know. Skimmers tend to take fishes closer in size to least tern prey items so there may be a parallel.

from Brian Bonesteel:
Two key things that I have observed on the navy sites in San Diego bay are #1 the weather has been colder than average with heavy mists that have been falling for many of the days when dead fledglings are found and #2 I have seen a great increase in the stealing of fish being brought in by least terns by Gull-billed Terns over the last several weeks.

from Tom Ryan:
At the Venice Colony our birds appear particularly susceptible to poor foraging conditions in the nearby ocean, especially when it comes to anchovies. I am going to try to get out a quick report later today or over the weekend with some data I just received from Nate Mudry tracking anchovy populations using CalCofi data and it mirrors the success and failure of the Venice Colony very well.

What we observe on the ground during these low anchovy years is that there are 1) fewer nests being established on any given day, 2) fewer adults roosting/loafing within the colony, 3) fewer adults in attendance at the colony, 4) attendance declines from mid-morning to the evening. All of these combine to allow the local predator, the American Crow to enter the colony, nearly unchallenged and locate and consume the eggs of all active nests each day.

Regarding 2010, Wally Ross has been in contact with the local bait fishermen who indicated that they were not catching any anchovies during the early part of the season (April-May).

One other observation that taken on it's own may not mean much, but given the current situation may be a piece of the puzzle, we did find a dead adult elegant tern at Malibu Lagoon on March 30, 2010 (specimen at LACMNH). It appeared emaciated with no other signs of injury.

from Pat Baird:
This kind of discussion on causation of chick deaths has occurred many times before, as far back as the late '80's. It is all well and good to say that the chicks were starving and that this was an El Nino etc. That is good background. However, unless someone has actually looked at foraging intensely this summer, you cannot state that food was a problem. Chicks dying co-occur with an El Nino--that is correct-- and they "appear" to be starving-- you just can't say this. That is not the scientific method, assuming something without testing.

I did a 4-year foraging study in the '90's in San Diego Bay and one last year. If my study on foraging in San Diego Bay in 2009 had continued this year, we would have a definitive idea for starters, whether or not food was an issue. In both studies, I looked at the following.

geographical areas where terns foraged
frequency of return of birds with prey to the nests
type of fish consumed by chicks
type of fish refused by chicks or dropped by parents
temperature of seawater at foraging sites

In my study in the '90's, I could draw inferences on causation of low fledgling success, because there were differences in prey/foraging areas in the years of low productivity. Unfortunately, I really cannot compare data from last year completely with data from the 1990's because there has been a regime shift in the prey all along the Pacific. But if I had done a study this year, at least we would have had a time-true comparison. Too bad. I just did not get funded for this year.

As you know, you cannot look at dropped fish as an indication of what the birds are eating or feeding to their chicks. More often than not, these are the fish that are of the wrong shape or size to be fed to chicks. All of my data show that. I also have evidence from a mini-study in Mission Bay in 1997 and 1998 on dropped fish, in one year where chicks starved.

So, unless you have had someone looking specifically at a) foraging areas b) frequency of return of birds with prey to nests and c) type/size of prey fed to chicks, you cannot assume that starvation/lack of food were what made the chicks die.

You also need a concurrent fish study to show what is available. However, you also must be careful in this, for the depth to which least terns can plunge dive is very shallow. If someone has fish sampling data at the top half a meter for this year, then that would suffice, for the least terns cannot plunge-dive much deeper than that.

I've also shown, for instance in Alaska, that the preferred prey can be available, but that the surface feeders (in this case, arctic and Aleutian terns, glaucous-winged gullls, and black-legged kittiwakes) could not reach them because the prey were stratified at depth, under a low-saline lens of water due to a record rainfall for a month and a half.

However, another thought on fish sampling is: many nets are so fine, that the topsmelt etc. at the surface can swim out of them, for they generate so much drag. On the other hand, if the mesh is such that the nets move through the water quickly enough to trap these small fish, they can often swim out of them through the larger mesh holes. This has always been a problem, sampling for prey for least terns.

Moreover, just because something is available in the water column does not mean that the terns will take it or eat it. It all depends on so many variables. You need to look at what they are bringing back to the colony.

Last Modified May 23, 2010

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